The volume of space dedicated to ‘trade wars’ in the past few months is vast. But this does not guarantee the subject has been properly examined and analysed. I would like to suggest another perspective, questioning some common assumptions.
A trade war is unlikely to turn into a currency war, and the yuan’s exchange rate against the dollar should stabilize and be slightly lower than it was before the trade war. However, this situation is not what the United States wants to see, and how it will develop still needs to be observed to further respond to the depreciation of the RMB.
Donald Trump provoked trade disputes between the US’s trading partners all around the world. Most dramatically, Trump has imposed waves of tariffs against China on nearly half of the Chinese exports to the US.
In July the pound continued its march lower as markets prepared for the prospect of a PM who would be more aligned with a no-deal Brexit outcome
Huawei’s leadership in 5G communications is seen by the US as a provocation. Trump has imposed a series of sanctions on Huawei, while some of U.S. traditional allies have only… read more →
History’s most ambitious and extensive infrastructure project is currently underway. If successful, China will become the world’s undisputed Centrepoint of trade. However, such a triumph will not come easily.
Boris Johnson has now formally accepted the Queen’s invitation to form a government. TFG heard from leaders in trade, treasury, export and finance.
The Brexit calamity continues, as Boris Johnson takes to No 10 Downing Street following the Conservative Party Ballot Paper result, taking strategic control of the UK government.
The pound continues to weaken as talk of a no-deal outcome heats up and uncertainty continues. The fact is, we’re no closer to any resolution than when Theresa May resigned, and the 31st October is rapidly approaching.
TFG are delighted to be joined by Michael Vatikiotis, who was the keynote speaker earlier today at FCI’s 51st Annual Meeting in Ho Chi Minh City, an experienced author, journalist and conflict moderator specialising in Southeast Asia.
